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Wednesday, July 04, 2018, 11:00 - 12:00

The speech and Q&A will be in English

Trade wars, currency wars (perhaps), infrastructure wars (between China and Japan) and perhaps other conflicts all threaten Asia's economy as the region seeks to cope with the fallout from Trumponomics and other challenges.

Meanwhile, the global synchronized recovery is fracturing as US growth picks up on the back of tax cuts while growth in Europe and Japan (in particular) has slipped.

Trade tensions and their potential impact on growth have moved to the top of the risk list, with concerns over Fed tightening and China credits easing somewhat. China's hyper-ambitious Belt Road Initiative runs into early problems with overly indebted countries leading to questions about its intent.

Cool analysis is needed more than even in these troubled times and few are better qualified to offer such analysis than Paul Gruenwald, Chief Asia Economist at S&P Global.

Paul is the Chief Economist at S&P Global Ratings. Based in Singapore, he leads the economic research agenda and serves as the primary spokesperson on macro-economic matters for the company.

Before joining S&P Global Ratings, Paul spent almost five years at Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ) as the Asia-Pacific Chief Economist, where he was responsible for helping set and direct ANZ's Asian and global economic research agenda, as well as building the bank's economic research efforts and profile in the region. Previously, Paul worked at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for nearly 16 years, where he led the team producing the IMF's Asian regional outlook reports. He was also the IMF Resident Representative to Hong Kong and Korea, the Deputy Chief of the China Division, and the country desk officer for Australia. Paul has a Ph.D. in Economics from Columbia University and a bachelor's degree in Economics/Mathematics from the University of Texas.

Please reserve in advance, 3211-3161 or on the website (still & TV cameras inclusive). Reservations and cancellations are not complete without confirmation.

Professional Activities Committee

Jul 04 18 PC Paul Gruenwald029




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